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Chinese Studies | Economic History | Economics | Growth and Development | Social and Behavioral Sciences


Louis Johnston, Economics; John F. Olson, Economics; P. Richard Bohr, History and Asian Studies


This project focuses on how the household saving ratio changes from 1978-2013 in China and what factors caused the changes. Based China’s household saving rate changes from 1953-2000 by using the framework of the life-cycle hypothesis, Modigliani concluded that the rate of growth income and the demographic structure are the major determinant of the rate of private saving. This project attempts to extend Modigliani’s research using the data after 2000 and take changes of Chinese policy and additional factors into consideration. Estimates of coefficients of saving function will be obtained by using OLS method to analyze the relationship between household saving ratio and these factors.